question

What modulates our Sun? The majority of science work on the principle that the Sun is self modulating and each solar cycle is a product of a random number generator. There are others that suspect the Sun is modulated by the planets with a special emphasis on Uranus & Neptune. Thanks to Carl Smith who has recently left us we have new knowledge that significantly adds to Jose, Landscheidt & Charvàtovà's work.

Geoff Sharp

Layman's Sunspot Count.

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SDO Sunspot

Daily Update:

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2615 growing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Manual --
21

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2615 5992 (4085) 65% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.0 (82.2)   2016/12/04 08:00

10.7 flux is adjusted values measured at Penticton for the associated day @ 20:00 UTC. E10.7 flux = daily SET EUV values (0-105nm). Bracketed figures denote the previous measurement. Regions not included do not pass the 336 pixel threshold. The LSC daily is the SILSO discounted value less the groups that fail the threshold test and questionable group splits. The Drawing Ref. is the drawing used that day that can include in order of preference Locarno,  and if not available the SDO image and a manual count (Waldmeier method). If available the SILSO value is Locarno x 0.6. The LSC Avg. is the running average LSC for the current month. More Daily/Monthly records below. Click on the solar thumbnail for a full sized view.

My paper has finally been published in a peer reviewed journal.

Are Uranus & Neptune Responsible for Solar Grand Minima and Solar Cycle Modulation?

International Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics September 3rd 2013 volume 3 number 3.

The full paper can be downloaded for free at:

http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?paperID=36513&#reference

Official Paper downloads: 4668

NO L&P EFFECT?  

L&P's own data showing a rise in magnetic strength over SC24 once smaller spots are isolated.

Click on the image for a full sized view

More detail HERE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cycle 24 record sunspot area: Region 2192 @ 75727 pixels on 23/10/2014.

 sc5 sc24 comparison

                                                              Note: SIDC(SILSO) values are pre July 15th 2015.

SC24 Summary:

Back in 2008 I made a prediction for SC24 based on what I think are solid foundations. The prediction was for a SSN value of less than 50 according to the old scale. So far I am on track but I also mentioned that SC24 might be a cycle where one hemisphere shuts down. The first peak of SC24 was around 2 years ago where we saw a Sun reach its peak totally dominated by the northern hemisphere, since then there has been a gradual decline in the north to a point where now the south has nearly completely taken over and is attempting to reach a peak similar to the north 2 years ago.

If both hemispheres had experienced this activity at the same time we might have had something close to a normal cycle but now with the prospect of the north shutting down completely some big questions remain. The northern hemisphere has switched polarity (just) and the south is attempting this process and with the new activity should do so, but if the north shuts down there may not be enough flux to take the hemisphere away from neutral. If so this could have ramifications for the next cycle, which I am expecting. What continues to play out with the south will also have consequences, will the south die off quickly as witnessed in the north which will mean the end of SC24 and if so will that hemisphere also have trouble breaking away from neutral? 

There is still much to play out that will possibly teach us why solar grand minima go for at least 2 cycles.

My predictions show that SC24 will be similar to SC5. The same Solar system forces are in play at similar timings and strength (SC24 perhaps showing a stronger disruption strength, which indicates that SC24 should be a smaller cycle than SC5). This graph using the SIDC monthly count from Jan 1798 will compare the Layman's Count from Jan 2008. The Layman's Count is the only count that can properly compare with the old SIDC (Wolf) measures. SC14 has been added for interest (starts Jan 1901) along with the GSN value from Hoyt & Schatten's alternative count which offers another comparison. All 4 records beginning at the end of their previous cycle (where the downramp meets the bottom). The unsmoothed numbers showing the big swings in SC14.

This is the first time modern science can measure a possible grand minimum...we might find that grand minima are simply one hemisphere closing down. Will there be enough sunspot activity in the south to allow the transportation of the reversing flux necessary for a polarity change?...lets see how it pans out.

SOLAR CYCLE 20/24 F10.7 FLUX COMPARISON.

To compare solar cycles we can also use the F10.7 radio flux values that have been recorded since 1947 in Canada. Solar cycle 20 was a weak cycle which is currently looking strong against solar cycle 24. Data is taken from the AU adjusted monthly average values.

SC20 & SC24 have a lot in common, they both experience angular momentum disturbance measured at the Sun. SC24 has a much higher degree of disturbance that will guarantee a lower cycle than SC20 if the theory is correct.

Updated Monthly.

SC24 SPECK RATIO

Below is the current speck ratio for solar cycle 24. Because the LSC employs a similar to Wolf spot threshold size to weed out the smaller groups we can calculate the difference between the SILSO values and obtain a speck ratio. This speck ratio only applies to groups that don't pass the threshold and do not apply to groups that pass and have a multitude of specks. These specks are still counted. Wolfer when he changed the system applied a 0.6 factor to his count because he was counting all specks and needed to stay aligned with Wolf. As we can see the speck ratio is already exceeding Wolfer's conversion factor and the LSC is still counting specks in groups that pass. So in reality the speck ratio is much higher. This is solid evidence that the Wolfer reduction factor used extensively today is not capable of aligning with the original Wolf count. The speck ratio is increasing during what is looking like a grand minimum type cycle.

LAYMAN'S SUNSPOT DARKNESS RATIO

This ratio is a little like the Livingston & Penn contrast measurements, the L&P method is to measure the darkest part of the spot and compare it with the photosphere to achieve a contrast figure. The Layman method is to use only sunspot groups that make the grade and then measure how many green channel pixels are in the 0-132 pixel range and then calculate the proportion of that darker area over the entire pixels in that group . The Layman's method is not hampered by available telescope time, cloud cover and daytime only viewing, but uses the daily SDO images. The older SOHO values  pre March 2010 have been calibrated to fit the SDO scale. So far the Layman's results are in direct contrast to the L&P.

Click on the graph for a larger image.

The above graph is a measure of the group or region darkness for every group daily since August 2010. The preceding graph is measured differently and only records the highest reading achieved by each group, the above graph represents the latter half of the preceding graph (and beyond) and is measuring the higher plateau. The values are taken from the beginning of the SDO project, prior to these values the SOHO records were used and display a lower start to the cycle if appended. Only groups that pass the threshold are included but specks in included groups also contribute to the darkness measurement. The better method would be to only measure individual spots that pass the threshold which could be a project for someone that might be interested. The first 9 months of the SDO data is heavily influenced by unipolar regions which were a lot darker than other regions, but after that the movement of the darkness record roughly follows the sunspot trend (perhaps leading which could be useful) with matching peaks at the highest point in October/November 2011 which may ultimately turn out to be the highest point in SC24. Although this cycle is very weak the data shows the magnetic strength is moving with sunspot activity.  The measurements recorded are very accurate and do not rely on telescope time, day time readings, cloud cover and is less affected by the rising speck ratio. Every pixel is measured accurately by software that records darkness from the pristine SDO images. This measurement of sunspot magnetic strength differs from the L&P method, but I believe it is more accurate, of interest is that my method suggests sunspot visibility occurs around the 40-45% on the darkness ratio scale, there is certainly no danger of all spots recording that value any time soon.

The data shows the magnetic strength albeit weak this time around follows the natural amplitude of the solar cycle. The graph below is the overall solar disk measurement that I also record daily and is not subject to a Wolf type threshold. The same trend is observed with the peak in darkness aligning with the peak in solar activity for SC24.

A BRIEF HISTORY ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE SUNSPOT COUNT.

 
Rudolf Wolf in 1855 commissioned the Fraunhofer 80mm / 1100 mm Refractor 64x telescope, here observed on the southern terrace of the Swiss Federal Observatory in Zurich. A Merzsche Polarization filter system for variable adjustment of detectable sunlight fitted, which enables safe viewing of the solar photosphere.Click on the pic for a larger view  

Johann Rudolf Wolf born in 1816 reconstructed the sunspot record back to 1749 using the geomagnetic record as his baseline. Wolf used this background scale to adjust the values taken before 1847 to align with his count, later in 1902 Wolfer looks to have reduced Wolf's SC5/6 values after discovering extra data not available to Wolf (under investigation). Wolf's reconstruction is also backed up by the Group Sunspot Number which shows very similar cycles during the Dalton Minimum. The GSN employs 32 observers during this period (only several were available to Wolf). The depth of the Dalton Minimum is beyond question.

Wolf was the inventor of the sunspot formula R=k(10g+s) which translates to sunspot number = a local adjustment factor to allow for telescope differences X 10 for each group + 1 for each spot. During his lifetime while counting spots he used the K factor to align other observers and indeed his own records that were taken with his smaller portable telescope. The portable telescope has a 40mm aperture and a magnification of 40x 20x compared to the larger telescope of 64x, the larger telescope having an aperture of 80mm and a focal length of 1100mm. To my knowledge both telescopes used a polarizing filter and did not use the projection method. During his time Wolf did not count small spots and specks, he set a threshold size that is now lost to science but it was set for two very good reasons.

1. He was trying to match his records with the past, the prior records were recorded through telescopes of lesser technology. Even so he had to make adjustments to the older record.

2. His own telescope only saw the minor spots/specks when conditions were good. (Today we can see even smaller specks with the 150mm equipment)

Wolf set a threshold for good reason, we should have preserved his vision.

His successor Wolfer in the 1880's marks a change in direction in how sunspots are counted. Wolfer began counting all small spots and pores along with recording each umbral area within a penumbra which differs from the Wolf method. He  introduced a reduction factor to his count to align with Wolf. Exactly how he arrived at his factor is currently being investigated but Wolfer crosschecked the 0.6 K factor for 17 years against Wolf's count and telescope. Update Sept 2012: new data suggests the original Wolf 80mm was greatly enhanced in 1864, with Wolf apparently not using the instrument after that. Later in 1883 Wolfer produced daily drawings on 25cm projection, which is thought to greatly enhance the spot counting performance. When Wolfer applied his 0.6  K factor he did not experience a grand minimum,  Wolfer must have been unaware that during grand minima where the speck count could be much higher the 0.6 K factor would not be sufficient to stop the values being overstated. The ratio of specks is where the potential for divergence lies, recent data is showing that SC24 is experiencing a large drop off of large spots with an increase in small spots.

Brunner followed on from Wolfer and continued his method up to 1945, where Waldmeier took over and a step change was introduced. Recent analysis HERE suggests the modern SILSO sunspot record is at least 22% higher than the late 1880's Wolfer values. Waldmeier introduced a new method of counting spots where extra weighting was applied to groups, the weighting factor is as follows: “a speck is counted once, A larger one but still without penumbra {a pore} is given the statistical weight 2 [i.e. counted twice], a small ordinary spot 3, and a large one 5 [i.e. counted 5 times]“ (Locarno have also scored single spots with 4&6). This addition to the historical count marks the greatest movement away from the Wolf method that needs adjustment when comparing the modern count. Waldmeier may have confused Wolfer's change to the umbral counting as a weighting system already introduced, this is still an area of current investigation. Update Sept 2012: There is emerging evidence that Brunner was using a weighting system, how this affected his count is still unclear.

The SIDC when taking over from Waldmeier in 1981 calibrated their results against the Waldmeier count and still use the  weighting factor at the SIDC reference station at Locarno, which has been in operation for over 50 years. When comparing the NOAA adjusted count to the SIDC count there are some inconsistencies prior to 2001 that are currently being investigated. Leif Svalgaard and myself have opposing views on this issue, which the SILSO have taken onboard.

The evolution of the sunspot record has made it difficult to formulate a homogeneous record (the SILSO are doing a great job in a difficult arena). Before Wolfer there was mainly one primary observer who was at the mercy of local conditions. Today we have multiple observers that must put upward pressure on the historic counts, the SILSO have 80 observers covering the globe of which 30% are professional. These results are averaged over 24 hours to gain a result. Modern observatories mainly use the same magnification as Wolf's larger telescope but that is the only equal comparison. The aperture lenses are nearly twice the diameter and the focal lengths are more than twice the length of Wolf's 64x scope, the design of the optics is also unknown on the modern scopes which can also make quite a difference, these motor driven, auto cooled/no tube telescopes are a far cry from Wolf's telescopes (Note: according to Leif Svalgaard the Locarno telescope is stopped down to 80mm). Wolf used a 1.5 K factor when using his smaller telescope, but 1.5 x zero is still zero which suggests Wolf must of been able to see his sunspot threshold through the smaller telescope.

We must also be aware of modern counting methods that are different to Wolf's method, NOAA have decided to run their own system that is not designed to line up with the past. In essence they do not take on Wolfer's 0.6 reduction factor to account for the small spots and pores that Wolf did not count. NOAA have their method which differs from the historical record that is unfortunately prevalent across many media outlets.

The SILSO count is the internationally accepted standard that follows the Wolfer method. The Waldmeier step is currently built into this standard.

Isolating specks by setting a "Wolf like threshold" and adopting the SILSO count for the groups that make the grade the Layman’s Count although not perfect, attempts to redress some of the modern issues and should compare more favorably to Wolf’s (and possibly Wolfer's) reconstruction of the Dalton Minimum cycles.

SOME BASIC MATHS TO DETERMINE SPECK DETECTION.

When it comes to observing specks there are two main players. The size of the aperture lens and the atmospheric conditions. Below is a list of what is possible in arc seconds from the appropriate lens diameter of a refractor type telescope.. This assumes perfect viewing and distortion free lenses. 1 arc second is equal to 725 kilometers on the solar surface.

Diameter Arc sec Km
40mm 2.93 2124
50mm 2.32 1682
70mm 1.66 1203
80mm 1.45 1051
110mm 1.05 735
150mm .77 558

Using the current SDO images it can be determined that the Sun is about 3800 pixels wide in the 4096 x 4096 images. The Sun is 1392000 kilometers across so each pixel measures 366 kilometers. The smallest specks recorded by Catania look to be about 700 kilometers across. If so the Wolf 80mm telescope on a perfect day with perfect optics is not capable of achieving this resolution, the 40mm aperture is nowhere near it. The current Wolfcam is also not capable of picking up the smallest specks that are counted today.

 

 

Atmosphere conditions or "seeing" is the next vital component. The very best conditions are achieved at night high up on mountain ridges that face the larger oceans. The very best conditions yield a max of 0.5 arc seconds. During the day conditions are weakened by solar activity in the atmosphere, so the atmosphere plays a big part in what is observable. Catania is capable of seeing 1000km wide specks in level 3 conditions. It becomes obvious that the new 150mm telescopes are capable of recording much smaller specks than Wolf's 80mm telescope.

Pictured left is the Layman's dual telescope, the top telescope is a 70mm aperture stopped down to 40mm set up with an old style Kellner 40x lens 20x lens which is a very close replica to Wolf's handheld telescope. The larger telescope using modern optics is an Orion 110mm aperture premium ED stopped down to 80mm with a 64x lens and should be very close to the original Wolf observatory telescope along with the official Locarno telescope used by the SILSO as its benchmark.   Both telescopes are fitted with "Seymour" solar filters. Click on the pic for a larger view.

 

In summary we have several contributing factors that are undeniably adding to the modern sunspot record.

1. The Waldmeier factor adding 22% via a different counting method that is still used by SILSO today (Leif Svalgaard) UPDATE: In July 2015 the SILSO SSN records have been revised and now discount the post 1945 SSN values by about 12% (SC24). The revision has not allowed sufficiently for the Waldmeier factor and still has a way to go.

2. A higher speck ratio during SC24 that was not considered by Wolfer when applying his 0.6K factor. Wolfer compared his count with Wolf's baby 20x telescope which is less than satisfactory. Wolf's eye sight was also questionable during this period.

3. The projection method introduced in 1883 producing a step increase in spot numbers that is shown via many metrics.

4. Moving to multiple world wide viewers taken over 24 hours increasing available coverage.

5. Modern 150mm telescopes able to resolve smaller specks than Wolf's 80mm & 40mm telescopes (this would mainly apply on days where Catania is used instead of Locarno) but the original Wolf 80mm telescope was upgraded significantly when Wolfer and his successors took over.

There is one outstanding issue: Does the modern projection method apply a 64X magnification at the viewing aperture or at the projected image? (New evidence according to private communications suggest that the Locarno counting method is performed by eye through the lens (stopped to 80mm), while the actual drawing is recorded at the lens width of 150mm)

Thanks to those supporting the LSC on WUWT, Svalgaard continues to call the method "uncalibrated junk" but misses the point as usual. The LSC removes the Waldmeier factor (like a bad calibrator) in the current record which is a universal requirement and it also adjusts for the increased speck ratio experienced during grand minima. Wolf used a tiny 40mm 20x telescope for the larger part of his observations which had a conversion factor to take it up to the 80mm telescope that Wolfer used. Wolfer introduced a further 0.6 correction factor because he counted all specks (Wolf had a threshold), but both correction factors where tested and applied outside of grand minimum type cycles...they had no way of knowing or how to correct for a grand minimum type cycle. The LSC in effect removes the "bad" calibration errors of the past.

Which ever way you cut it SC24 is following Wolf & Wolfers combined reconstruction of SC5 and looks nothing like SC14 (Svalgaard continues to make wild claims?). SC24 will be the lowest cycle in 200 years.

Image courtesy of Leif Svalgaard.

Graph showing that the difference between NOAA and the SIDC(SILSO) has been mostly constant but has drifted higher in the last few years suggesting either the SIDC is counting more or NOAA is counting less of late.

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THE LAYMAN'S COUNT METHOD & HISTORY

There has been a lot of comments recently about the tiny specks that have been counted as sunspots. A tiny speck can get a daily count of 11 which severely skews the record. NOAA is another magnitude higher than the SILSO, NOAA using a different method not meant to compare with the historical count. During times of high speck count we need a new standard to record sunspots that gives us a realistic measure of today's activity verses the last Grand Minimum.

The SOHO 1024 x 1024 Continuum images originally provided a good platform to measure the pixels involved in a Sunspot. Initially it had to be determined what a standard sunspot should represent in size and density, to try and represent a minimum counter like Wolf may have done 200 years ago. After some deliberation with fellow enthusiast Robert Bateman, a minimum standard was established.

SOHO Continuum zoomed to 1600xTo be counted, a sunspot or group must have 23 pixels which have a reading in the green channel of 0-70 for at least 24 hours. Note: This has now been superceded, see below.

All pixels in a digital image have a RGB reading which split out into separate Red, Blue, Green channels and can be easily measured and counted in one action using a freeware graphics program called GIMP.

So the standard was set, which now enabled us to go back over the records and weed out the offending specks and blank days.

The official Layman's Sunspot Count is compared against the SILSO record which is considered conservative when compared with other institutions involved. Basically we use the same sunspot number as SILSO but replace them with zero on days that don't make the grade. When the SILSO count is made up of two or more areas and if any of the area's do not make the Layman's Count, the overall SILSO daily count will be reduced by the areas that fail. Spots that count 23 pixels and over before midnight and then continue on to pass the 24 hour rule will take the SILSO value of that day. Existing Spots that have made the grade but measure less than 23 pixels at midnight are not counted on the next day.

Displayed below is the recent solar activity along with the results of the weeded SILSO record. The data & graphs will be updated monthly soon after SIDC post their record which is usually at the start of each month.

 

NEW LAYMAN'S COUNT METHOD UTILIZING THE SDO HIGH DEFINITION IMAGES.

 

The SDO images are now available and used for the Layman's Sunspot Count. Several high quality images are provided every hour making the counting process more accurate and reliable. The method will use the 5Mb 4096 x 4096 SDO fast-look Continuum images which will be measured at 08:00 UTC daily.

The minimum pixel area is now 333 pixels (0-150 in the green channel) which calibrates to the old 23 pixel threshold used in the SOHO images. The area conversion factor is 6.91%. The 24 hour rule will stay in place. Update 21st Dec 2012: New threshold limit of 336 arising from Mac platform change. All values rising 1% on gimp2 Mac version.

Sunspot areas included in the daily report indicate regions that pass the 336 pixel threshold but are still subject to the 24 hour rule. Because the SILSO can split NOAA numbered groups, final determination cannot be performed until month end. As per Wolf's original method a spot is only counted when it has a visible Umbra.

LAYMAN'S SUNSPOT THRESHOLD 333 PIXEL EXAMPLE.

 

On March 28th 2011 at 4:00 UTC NOAA sunspot region 1180 (11180) was recorded by the SDO satellite. This region matches exactly the Layman's threshold and can be used to compare a likely threshold used by Wolf. When looking at region 1180 through the Layman's 40mm Wolf replica handheld telescope the penumbra/umbra areas are NOT distinguishable. (Update Sept 2012, it is now apparent the Wolf handheld had a magnification of 20x not 40x as previously suggested)  A group is not counted unless one spot within that group meets or exceeds 333 pixels. Now 336 pixels, see above.

 

IMPROVEMENTS TO THE LAYMAN'S SUNSPOT COUNT: June 2012  
In the past because of internet restrictions I was unable to perform the daily update around the same time as the SILSO pilot station (Locarno). Now that the restriction is solved I will use the 08:00 UTC image which is about the average time of the Locarno image making the counting a little more precise, plus I will have access to the drawing. I have also had several requests to post a daily LSC value along with a running monthly average which with a minor change I can now provide. I think this will be a major improvement and should highlight the daily differences between the different counting methods. In the past I used the daily SILSO value to work out the daily K factor for the Locarno drawing which I had to wait until the end of month to obtain. I will now assume a daily 0.6 K factor which is the long term monthly average and should not make any noticeable change to the LSC monthly value.  

 

NEW AREA BASED MEASUREMENT,DSN.

A new counting method will run in conjunction with the Layman's Count. It will be an area based method but taking into consideration the darkness or magnetic strength. This is an alternative method which intends to accurately measure area and magnetic strength which should alleviate the current problems with speck counting. A daily reading around 08:00 UTC will measure solar face pixel area and darkness, these will be combined to produce a DSN value (Daily Sharp Number) :) Click on the graph for more data.

 The DSN will hopefully be a better gauge of the true spot strength and may be a useful value when comparing with the F10.7Flux.

The DSN formula: pixel area value x darkness percentage ie a spot that measured 37 pixels with a darkness ratio 54%  would be 37 x 5.4 = 199.8 (multiply the result X 6.91% if using SDO image).

The DSN method will not use the 333 pixel or 24 hour rule but will use the same green channel readings from the Layman's Count and darkness ratio methods.

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DECEMBER NEWS

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area staying about the same. F10.7 flux holding steady.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
17 Manual --
22

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2615 4085 (2836) 66% (70%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.2 (82.0)   2016/12/03 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
27 Locarno 46
25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 1380 (2529) 57% (56%)
2615 2836 (2250) 70% (60%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.0 (82.1)   2016/12/02 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing slighly. Stereo Ahead looking blank.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
23 Locarno 35
23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 2529 (3256) 56% (56%)
2615 2250 (1467) 60% (69%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.1 (81.3)   2016/12/01 08:00

 

NOVEMBER NEWS

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing slighly.  November finished the month with its most active day but the LSC monthly average coming in at the very low 4.8, the lowest value since the beginning of SC24.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
38 Locarno 38
4.8

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 3256 (4201) 56% (52%)
2614 1110 (1849) 67% (59%)
2615 1467 69%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
81.3 (83.1)   2016/11/30 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC November monthly average looking to be a very low.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
23 Manual --
4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 4201 (4878) 52% (61%)
2614 1849 59%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.1 (82.9)   2016/11/29 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. Another group looking to make the grade tomorrow.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
10 Locarno 26
3

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 4878 (4805) 61% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.9 (80.4)   2016/11/28 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average moving up 1 point.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
14 Locarno 24
3

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 4805 (4066) 65% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.4 (79.1)   2016/11/27 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
11 Manual --
2

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 4066 (3110) 65% (62%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
79.1 (78.8)   2016/11/26 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
11 Manual --
2

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 3110 (2350) 62% (57%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.8 (77.0)   2016/11/25 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. Stereo Ahead continuing to look bleak.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
8 Manual --
2

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 2350 (1250) 57% (56%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.0 (75.7)   2016/11/24 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2612 being a unipolar type region is likely to last until it roatates off the face.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
8 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2612 1250 56%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.7 (75.4)   2016/11/23 08:00

Five spotless days are recorded (in the current run) with the overall area decreasing. The live image showing an active region for tomorrow..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.4 (73.1)   2016/11/22 08:00

Four spotless days are recorded (in the current run) with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux still falling..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
73.1 (74.6)   2016/11/21 08:00

Three spotless days are recorded (in the current run) with the overall area decreasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.6 (74.9)   2016/11/20 08:00

Two spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. If the current trend continues we will be up for some interesting sunspot and F10.7 graphs by months end.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.9 (75.8)   2016/11/19 08:00

One spotless day is recorded with the overall area decreasing. Back to spotless already, November is proving to be quite a month.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.8 (76.8)   2016/11/18 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area staying about the same.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
12 Locarno 18
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2610 1193 (1122) 73% (73%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.8 (79.1)   2016/11/17 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. The 27 day spotless run is over and we need to go back to the SC23/24 minimum to see a similar run. (update ammended, thanks Craig)

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
10 Locarno 17
1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2610 1122 73%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
79.1 (74.9)   2016/11/16 08:00

Twenty seven spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The spotless run could end tomorrow.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 17
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.9 (75.6)   2016/11/15 08:00

Twenty six spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. This amazing spotless run continues...

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.6 (76.2)   2016/11/14 08:00

Twenty five spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 29
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.2 (76.8)   2016/11/13 08:00

Twenty four spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux staying the same.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.8 (76.8)   2016/11/12 08:00

Twenty three spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The spotless run continues..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 15
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.8 (78.6)   2016/11/11 08:00

Twenty two spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2607 is over the Wolf threshold but is not going to pass the 24 hour rule.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 17
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.6 (78.3)   2016/11/10 08:00

Twenty one spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The live image now showing some activity.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.3 (75.4)   2016/11/09 08:00

Twenty spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The spotless run looking to continue. The Solar Minimum experience goes on.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.4 (75.1)   2016/11/08 08:00

Nineteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The spotless run now becoming substantial, and looking to go longer?

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 7
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.1 (74.9)   2016/11/07 08:00

Eighteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The spotless run now becoming substantial..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual 0
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.9 (75.3)   2016/11/06 08:00

Seventeen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The spotless run now becoming substantial..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.3 (75.4)   2016/11/05 08:00

Sixteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.4 (74.4)   2016/11/04 08:00

Fifhteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 23
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.4 (74.8)   2016/11/03 08:00

Fourteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The pipline remaining weak..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.8 (75.4)   2016/11/02 08:00

Thirteen spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The pipline not looking strong..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8
0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.4 (75.5)   2016/11/01 08:00

OCTOBER NEWS

Twelve spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. The LSC monthly average for October is 13.97, another very low number. According to the old method we had 14 days out of 31 spotless, the cycle is feeling like it's almost over.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8
13.97

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.5 (75.1)   2016/10/31 08:00

Eleven spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux dropping even lower..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual --
14

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.1 (78.0)   2016/10/30 08:00

Ten spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The very large difference in counting seen over the past ten days. The modern record much inflating how it was done 200 years ago.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 16
15

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.0 (78.2)   2016/10/29 08:00

Nine spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 25 15

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.2 (77.8)   2016/10/28 08:00

Eight spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Region 2603 again failing the 24 hour rule and is removed from the record

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 17 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.8 (77.1)   2016/10/27 08:00

One sunspot group is Seven spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2603 now looking to make the grade.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.1 (76.9)   2016/10/26 08:00

Six spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2603 did not pass the 24 hour test and is removed from the record..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.9 (74.5)   2016/10/25 08:00

One sunspot group is Five spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Region 2603 still has to pass the 24 hour test.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.5 (76.0)   2016/10/24 08:00

Four spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Again None of the small spots today passed the Wolf threshold. The LSC monthly average now under 20.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 19

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.0 (76.7)   2016/10/23 08:00

Three spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Again None of the small spots today passed the Wolf threshold.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 20

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.7 (77.1)   2016/10/22 08:00

Two spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Again None of the small spots today passed the Wolf threshold.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 18 21

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.1 (74.0)   2016/10/21 08:00

One spotless day is recorded with the overall area decreasing. None of the small spots today passed the Wolf threshold.

A graph from the McCracken paper casting doubt on the Ed Fix model below.

Looking at Ex Fix's model (just below) there looks to be something strange. I believe the model is based on solar radial velocity, and in this version he has plotted the effect of J/S (blue line) and U/N added to J/S (red line). Normally you would expect the effect from J/S alone to be static, not modulating as shown in the model?  UPDATE: The McCracken graph above showing the constant distance that J/S moves the Sun from the SSB. Solar displacement is the same as radial velocity?

A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 22

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.0 (75.8)   2016/10/20 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux remaining real low. Looking at Ex Fix's model (just below) there looks to be something strange. I believe the model is based on solar radial velocity, and in this version he has plotted the effect of J/S (blue line) and U/N added to J/S (red line). Normally you would expect the effect from J/S alone to be static, not modulating as shown in the model?

A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
15 Manual -- 23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2602 1480 (895) 66% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.8 (76.8)   2016/10/19 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
20 Locarno 20 23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2600 445 (935) 45% (60%)
2602 895 (803) 66% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.8 (75.6)   2016/10/18 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing.F10.7 flux dropping to very low levels.

A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
17 Manual -- 23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2600 935 (1496) 60% (65%)
2602 803 (707) 66% (64%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.6 (80.4)   2016/10/17 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
17 Manual -- 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2600 1496 (1904) 65% (69%)
2602 707 (724) 64% (61%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.4 (84.4)   2016/10/16 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average dropping again, F10.7 flux dropping quickly. A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself) UPDATE: I have approached Elsevier suggesting breach of copyright...the fun begins.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Manual -- 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2600 1904 (2481) 69% (64%)
2602 724 (750) 61% (61%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.4 (92.3)   2016/10/15 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average rising again. A new post a WUWT titled "Solar Cycle Mystery Solved?" includes a new paper  by David Archibald and Ed Fix. The authors look to have replicated my theory, so the mystery was solved back in 2008. An excerp from the post:


Figure 3: Simulation model with Jupiter and Saturn compared to the full model

The red line shows the full model which includes Uranus and Neptune as well as Jupiter and Saturn. The difference between the red and blue lines is the effect of Uranus and Neptune. This can be additive or subtractive. In Solar Cycles 18 and 22, Uranus and Neptune increased the amplitude of the solar cycles relative to the model output of Jupiter and Saturn alone. In Solar Cycles 20 and 24, Uranus and Neptune had the effect of reducing the size of those solar cycles. Thus the cold period of the 1970s cooling period associated with Solar Cycle 20 may have been due to the influence of Uranus and Neptune.

They are clearly claiming that sunspot cycle modulation and solar slowdowns are caused by Uranus and Neptune but appear to give no reference to myself. The "model" output is almost the same as Carl's original graph but in this case uses solar acceleration/deceleration instead of angular momentum (both are near identical). I have sent David an email requesting information on citations etc. (the paper is incl in Don Easterbrooks book which shows no reference to myself)

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
29 Manual -- 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2599 1684 (3127) 62% (68%)
2600 2481 (2716) 64% (65%)
2602 750 61%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
92.3 (94.8)   2016/10/14 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average now falling.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
19 Manual -- 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2599 3127 (4473) 68% (67%)
2600 2716 (2891) 65% (63%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
94.8 (97.2)   2016/10/13 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
19 Locarno 28 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2599 4473 (5708) 67% (67%)
2600 2891 (2855) 63% (69%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.2 (98.1)   2016/10/12 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux back under 100 again.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
24 Locarno 47 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2599 5708 (6592) 67% (66%)
2600 2855 (2534) 69% (64%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
98.1 (101.6)   2016/10/11 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Solar activity now appearing to soften..

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the review on Scafetta's new paper for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
25 Locarno 48 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2599 6592 (7090) 66% (67%)
2600 2534 (2254) 64% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
101.6 (104.2)   2016/10/10 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. October off to a more active start than those witnessed in the last 6 months or so.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
38 Manual -- 26

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 1957 (2502) 55% (61%)
2599 7090 (6884) 67% (63%)
2600 2254 (1587) 66% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
104.2 (104.1)   2016/10/09 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
36 Manual -- 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 2502 (3130) 61% (59%)
2599 6884 (6624) 63% (65%)
2600 1587 (989) 66% (59%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
104.1 (104.0)   2016/10/08 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
47 Locarno 47 22

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 3130 (3011) 59% (62%)
2599 6624 (7074) 65% (59%)
2600 989 (349) 59% (52%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
104.0 (101.4)   2016/10/07 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
40 Locarno 40 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 3011 (1755) 62% (67%)
2599 7074 (5184) 59% (60%)
2600 349 52%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
101.4 (96.8)   2016/10/06 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. Another solar proxy graph with main events separated by 4627 years:

Over at Climate Etc I posted a challenge to Steven Mosher...I asked him to study my paper and tell me where the data is wrong. My paper is totally falsifiable..I wonder if he is up to the challenge?

Also there is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
32 Locarno 32 14

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 1755 (1227) 67% (64%)
2599 5184 (3402) 60% (55%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
96.8 (93.1)   2016/10/05 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. Another solar proxy graph with main events separated by 4627 years:

Over at Climate Etc I posted a challenge to Steven Mosher...I asked him to study my paper and tell me where the data is wrong. My paper is totally falsifiable..I wonder if he is up to the challenge?

Also there is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
25 Locarno 25 9

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 1227 (914) 64% (72%)
2599 3402 55%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
93.1 (87.9)   2016/10/04 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing.

Over at Climate Etc I posted a challenge to Steven Mosher...I asked him to study my paper and tell me where the data is wrong. My paper is totally falsifiable..I wonder if he is up to the challenge?

Also there is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
12 Locarno 27 4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2598 914 72%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.9 (82.4)   2016/10/03 08:00

Three spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying about the same. Today over at Climate Etc I posted a challenge to Steven Mosher...I asked him to study my paper and tell me where the data is wrong. My paper is totally falsifiable..I wonder if he is up to the challenge?

There is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.4 (81.2)   2016/10/02 08:00

Two spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

There is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
81.2 (80.8)   2016/10/01 08:00

 

SEPTEMBER NEWS

One spotless day is recorded with the overall area decreasing.A spotless day to end the month, which came in at 16.4, the Landsheidt Minimum continues.

There is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

So far there has been no reponse from Willis, Svalgaard or Anthony? Are they scared to refute this data as it flys in the face of their agenda and belief system? I am banned at WUWT, but maybe someone reading this can stir them up?

A big boost for my theory, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 16.4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.8 (83.0)   2016/09/30 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. There is a guest post on WUWT by Andy May where he states:

The cause of the Bray cycle is unknown, but by process of elimination it is likely to be related to solar cycles. Scafetta, et al. suggest it is due to the orbits of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Geoff Sharp suggests that the overall cycle is 4627 years divided into two severe cold periods at roughly 2100 years and 2500 years. Specifically, Geoff Sharp has shown that all grand minima happen when Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are together with Saturn opposite.

So far there has been no reponse from Willis, Svalgaard or Anthony? Are they scared to refute this data as it flys in the face of their agenda and belief system? I am banned at WUWT, but maybe someone reading this can stir them up?

A big boost for my theory today, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
11 Locarno 11 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 588 (1602) 52% (62%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.0 (84.8)   2016/09/29 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux remaining low. A massive low pressure system knocked out the power system for South Australia last night. Some say this "superstorm" is a result of global warming, but have no idea on how a quiet Sun creates more ozone and thus more low pressure systems.

A big boost for my theory today, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Locarno 25 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 1602 (1991) 62% (55%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.8 (85.9)   2016/09/28 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. A big boost for my theory today, it seems the 14C solar proxy record WAS wrong (INTCAL98) and there IS a repeat of LIA events every 4627 years (if the new record is to be believed?). I have added an update to the  review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
23 Locarno 23 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 1991 (2174) 55% (71%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.9 (87.2)   2016/09/27 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2597 making a small come back today. I have written a review on Scafetta's new paper today for those interested..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
23 Locarno 23 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 2174 (1760) 71% (67%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.2 (85.1)   2016/09/26 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. Region 2597 decaying fast.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that can be downloaded. I will be reviewing this paper next week.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Locarno 25 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 1760 (2162) 67% (83%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.1 (85.4)   2016/09/25 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2596 did not pass the 24 hour rule and is removed from the record. Plenty of magnetic strength (darkness) associated with region 2597.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that can be downloaded. I will be reviewing this paper next week.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
22 Locarno 42 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 2162 (1045) 83% (76%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.4 (85.7)   2016/09/24 08:00

Two One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average holding steady with F10.7 flux remaining low.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that can be downloaded. I will be reviewing this paper next week.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
13 Locarno 38 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2597 1045 76%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
86.1 (85.7)   2016/09/23 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing .

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
12 Locarno 20 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2593 1336 (1685) 64% (77%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.7 (86.1)   2016/09/22 08:00

Two sunspot regions  are recorded with the overall area increasing . The spotless days could return soon.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
29 Manual -- 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2593 1685 (760) 77% (76%)
2595 1367 (1499) 58% (68%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
86.1 (85.2)   2016/09/21 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing .

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
28 Locarno 42 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2593 760 76%
2595 1499 68%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.2 (83.3)   2016/09/20 08:00

Seven spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing . The Wolf threshold not reached by any single spot today.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 42 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.3 (83.8)   2016/09/19 08:00

Six spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. The Wolf threshold maybe challenged tomorrow.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.8 (81.0)   2016/09/18 08:00

Five spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
81.0 (84.5)   2016/09/17 08:00

Four spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Solar activity back to duldrums status.

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 8 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.5 (85.3)   2016/09/16 08:00

Three spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average set to go sub 20 tomorrow..

Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 20

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.3 (86.2)   2016/09/15 08:00

Two spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux still dropping. Nicola Scafetta has a new paper out that looks to include some of my theory, I am planning to do a review on it as soon as I get a copy.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 16 21

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
86.2 (87.0)   2016/09/14 08:00

One spotless day is recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average now experiencing downward pressure..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 25 23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.0 (87.5)   2016/09/13 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. There is a good chance of a spotless day tomorrow. F10.7 flux holding steady.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
12 Locarno 40 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2589 719 (1504) 69% (63%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.5 (87.5)   2016/09/12 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average rising slowly but F10.7 flux dropping quickly.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
29 Locarno 49 26

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 2133 (5273) 52% (60%)
2589 1504 (2122) 63% (75%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.5 (94.3)   2016/09/11 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
36 Locarno 51 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 5273 (8659) 60% (64%)
2589 2122 75%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
94.3 (92.3)   2016/09/10 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
20 Locarno 53 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 8659 (10100) 64% (67%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
92.3 (95.9)   2016/09/09 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. Region 2585 reversing direction and now growing in area and darkness.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
25 Locarno 42 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 10100 (9654) 67% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
95.9 (94.4)   2016/09/08 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. Activity on hold for the moment.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
24 Locarno 51 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 9654 (10091) 65% (66%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
94.4 (93.9)   2016/09/07 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing slightly. Locarno pumping the numbers again.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
17 Locarno 32 25

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region # 
Pixels Darkness
2585 10091 (10921) 66% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
93.9 (95.3)   2016/09/06 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing slightly. Stereo Ahead looking weak.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Locarno 25 26

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2585 10921 (11491) 65% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
95.3 (99.0)   2016/09/05 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. The LSC monthly average falling..

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
23 Locarno 38 28

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2585 11491 (10812) 65% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
99.0 (100.7)   2016/09/04 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux just over 100.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
25 Locarno 48 30

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2585 10812 (8975) 65% (63%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
100.7 (96.3)   2016/09/03 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. Region 2585 will have September off to a good start...

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
37 Locarno 63 33

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2581 724 (1339) 46% (47%)
2585 8975 (4953) 63% (59%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
96.3 (96.9)   2016/09/02 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux only staying over 100 for a day.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
29 Locarno 64 29

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2581 1339 (2125) 47% (52%)
2585 4953 (1899) 59% (49%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
96.9 (99.3)   2016/09/01 08:00

AUGUST NEWS

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average for August is 18.23, a slight rise in activity this month.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
24 Locarno 55 18.23

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2581 2125 (2305) 52% (57%)
new 1899 49%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
99.3 (102.3)   2016/08/30 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux over 100 for the first time in many weeks.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
10 Manual -- 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2581 2305 (2799) 57% (63%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
102.3 (89.5)   2016/08/30 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area staying about the same. NOAA indecisive on the group allocations again today.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
33 Locarno 42 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2581 2799 (2913) 63% (57%)
2582 587 56%
2583 1079 72%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
89.5 (87.1)   2016/08/29 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC is once again up to date.

The Laymans data was almost lost but 12 hours later (after disappearing) to their credit the all important laymans spreadsheet returned to dropbox. I will be taking extra precautions from now on. :) The LSC record will be updated back to the present over the next few days.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
43 Locarno 49 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2580 458 (432)
79% (75%)
2581 2913 (3584) 57% (69%)
2582 1357 63%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
87.1 (85.6)   2016/08/28 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing.

The Laymans data was almost lost but 12 hours later (after disappearing) to their credit the all important laymans spreadsheet returned to dropbox. I will be taking extra precautions from now on. :) The LSC record will be updated back to the present over the next few days.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
24 Locarno 31 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2580 432 (547)
75% (57%)
2581 3584 (1523) 69% (74%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.6 (83.6)   2016/08/27 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing.

The Laymans data was almost lost but 12 hours later (after disappearing) to their credit the all important laymans spreadsheet returned to dropbox. I will be taking extra precautions from now on. :) The LSC record will be updated back to the present over the next few days.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
24 Manual -- 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2580 547 (558)
57% (65%)
2581 1523 74%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.6 (80.3)   2016/08/26 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing.

The Laymans data was almost lost but 12 hours later (after disappearing) to their credit the all important laymans spreadsheet returned to dropbox. I will be taking extra precautions from now on. :) The LSC record will be updated back to the present over the next few days.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
9 Locarno 30 16

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2580 558
65%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.3 (85.6)   2016/08/25 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. 12 hours later to their credit the all important laymans spreadsheet returned to dropbox. I will be taking extra precautions from now on. :) The LSC record will be updated back to the present over the next few days.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
16 Locarno 32 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2579 1680 (2874) 58% (75%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.6 (83.1)   2016/08/24 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average holding for now..

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
16 Locarno 32 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2579 2874 75%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
83.1 (81.8)   2016/08/23 08:00

Four spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The spotless run will end tomorrow.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 22 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
81.8 (78.4)   2016/08/22 08:00

Three spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux under 80 again.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.4 (80.0)   2016/08/21 08:00

Two spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The current trend seems to be extending, each month only capable of two weeks of spotted days. But there is a region about to rotate onto the visible face that may upset this trend?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
80.0 (82.7)   2016/08/20 08:00

One spotless days is recorded with the overall area decreasing. Big difference again with Locarno, the old method very different to today.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 43 19

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.7 (84.4)   2016/08/19 08:00

One sunspot region is recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average now on the decline.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
10 Locarno 34 20

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2574 1176 (1996) 52% (60%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.4 (84.9)   2016/08/18 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC uses the NOAA region numbers to determine groups, and has counted 2573/74 as separate groups as per NOAA even though the regions are close and appeared together at the same time. Today NOAA has decided to consolidate both groups at this late stage for no apparent reason. This has inflated the count over the last 9 days which has now been rectified by reducing the LSC raw count by 10 points back to the 8th Aug. The LSC monthly values have dropped by around 3 points as a result.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
20 Manual -- 21

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2574 1996 (1512) 60% (65%)
2576 888 (1304) 53% (53%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.9 (88.7)   2016/08/17 08:00

Three Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Locarno really amping it again today, and some say Locarno is under counting?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
22 Locarno 68 21

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 938 (1206)
51% (47%)
2574 1512 (1945) 65% (69%)
2576 1304 (2350) 53% (55%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
88.7 (89.8)   2016/08/16 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Locarno bumping the numbers again.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
32 Locarno 56 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1206 (1353)
47% (54%)
2574 1945 (2510) 69% (63%)
2576 2350 (2793) 55% (55%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
89.8 (89.4)   2016/08/15 08:00

Four sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux dropping below 90.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
44 Locarno 44 24

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1353 (1493)
54% (62%)
2574 2510 (2597) 63% (64%)
2576 2793 (2853) 55% (59%)
2577 1284 (1959) 65% (64%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
89.4 (92.9)   2016/08/14 08:00

Four sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Locarno pumping up the official figures again today.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
49 Locarno 62 22

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1493 (1426)
62% (58%)
2574 2597 (3310) 64% (65%)
2576 2853 (2925) 59% (60%)
2577 1959 (2011) 64% (62%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
92.9 (97.3)   2016/08/13 08:00

Four sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. Activity marginally on the way up again, but F10.7 flux holding steady.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
41 Locarno 55 20

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1426 (1330)
58% (56%)
2574 3310 (3389) 65% (59%)
2576 2925 (2448) 60% (54%)
2577 2011 62%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.3 (97.2)   2016/08/12 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. The majority of activity remaining in the south.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
28 Locarno 53 18

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1330 (1126)
56% (57%)
2574 3389 (2954) 59% (58%)
2576 2448 (1832) 54% (56%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.2 (97.6)   2016/08/11 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux remaining under 100.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
30 Locarno 56 17

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2573 1126 (853)
57% (48%)
2574 2954 (1951) 58% (60%)
2576 1832 (1019) 56% (58%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.6 (94.9)   2016/08/10 08:00

Four sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. Solar activity now beginning to decline.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
44 Locarno 53 15

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2571 1682 (2905) 66% (61%)
2573 853 (490)
48% (53%)
2574 1951 (1229) 60% (60%)
2576 1019 58%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
94.9 (99.0)   2016/08/09 08:00

Three sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. Solar activity somewhat higher than seen over the past few months.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
41 Locarno 59 12

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2571 2905 (2964) 61% (68%)
2573 490
53%
2574 1229 60%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
99.0 (85.5)   2016/08/08 08:00

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average on the way up.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
27 Locarno 37 8

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2571 2964 (1140) 68% (69%)
2572 974 (1829) 62% (73%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
95.3 (85.5)   2016/08/07 08:0

Two sunspot regions are recorded with the overall area increasing. This months two week period of activity beginning?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
26 Locarno 26 4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
2571 1140 69%
2572 1829 73%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
85.5 (82.1)   2016/08/06 08:00

Thirteen consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Todays regions not quite making the Wolf threshold..

More than one year on from the SILSO SSN reconstruction it is timely to review the methodology that few have questioned. The yellow line shows the conversion factor which to my mind is way short when comparing old cycles with SC24. A 20% reduction at a minimum is required to compensate for the Waldmeier Factor alone, but yet we see only 12-15% reduction applied?

SILSO

Click on the image for a larger view

clexit

A new movement on the back of a changing world trend is growing, preliminary details of Clexit (leave the Paris Climate Agreement) is available HERE.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual - 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
82.1 (78.5)   2016/08/05 08:00

Twelve consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. The spotless run may end tomorrow..

More than one year on from the SILSO SSN reconstruction it is timely to review the methodology that few have questioned. The yellow line shows the conversion factor which to my mind is way short when comparing old cycles with SC24. A 20% reduction at a minimum is required to compensate for the Waldmeier Factor alone, but yet we see only 12-15% reduction applied?

SILSO

Click on the image for a larger view

clexit

A new movement on the back of a changing world trend is growing, preliminary details of Clexit (leave the Paris Climate Agreement) is available HERE.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Loarno 7 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
78.5 (77.0)   2016/08/04 08:00

Eleven consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same.There is no image from the SDO today due to maintenance but there seems little change in the live image. More than one year on from the SILSO SSN reconstruction it is timely to review the methodology that few have questioned. The yellow line shows the conversion factor which to my mind is way short when comparing old cycles with SC24. A 20% reduction at a minimum is required to compensate for the Waldmeier Factor alone, but yet we see only 12-15% reduction applied?

SILSO

Click on the image for a larger view

clexit

A new movement on the back of a changing world trend is growing, preliminary details of Clexit (leave the Paris Climate Agreement) is available HERE.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.0 (77.1)   2016/08/03 08:00

Ten consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area staying the same. A new movement on the back of a changing world trend is growing, preliminary details of Clexit (leave the Paris Climate Agreement) is available HERE.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
77.1 (74.1)   2016/08/02 08:00

Nine consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. August off to a good start.

The monthly average for July is 10.8 confirming the trajectory of the activity slide occurring over the past 30 months or so. If the trend continues SC24 will be judged overall as lower than the first cycle of the Dalton Minimum (SC5) occurring in the early 1800's along with one of the shortest cycles in the sunspot record (see SC5/SC24 comparison graph below). Many have predicted that if SC24 was to be a low cycle it would be of a longer duration (12-14 years), but as we might be witnessing SC24 will indeed be a lot shorter than the average 11 year cycle.

The AMP event or disordered solar orbit that occurred at SC5 was of a weaker nature than the AMP event during SC24, and  previous to that the only comparable AMP event was during the Maunder Minimum where records are weak. So SC24 is the first cycle to record modern data for a grand minimum type cycle, and we are seeing some unexpected results. Apart from the low activity and shorter cycle we also have a very weak solar northern hemisphere when measuring the solar pole magnetic strength, the divergence between the poles is the largest measured in the modern record of around 40 years and will probably result in a disturbed solar dynamo that should ensure a weak SC25 before recovering somewhat in SC26. Of note is that there are no following AMP events until 2150, so don't expect a Maunder type minimum this time around (the next Maunder type event is over 1000 years away).

Some extra information is available in my latest article HERE.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #    Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.1 (73.7)   2016/08/01 08:00

 

JULY NEWS

Eight consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. The monthly average for July is 10.8 confirming the trajectory of the activity slide occurring over the past 30 months or so. If the trend continues SC24 will be judged overall as lower than the first cycle of the Dalton Minimum (SC5) occurring in the early 1800's along with one of the shortest cycles in the sunspot record (see SC5/SC24 comparison graph below). Many have predicted that if SC24 was to be a low cycle it would be of a longer duration (12-14 years), but as we might be witnessing SC24 will indeed be a lot shorter than the average 11 year cycle.

The AMP event or disordered solar orbit that occurred at SC5 was of a weaker nature than the AMP event during SC24, and  previous to that the only comparable AMP event was during the Maunder Minimum where records are weak. So SC24 is the first cycle to record modern data for a grand minimum type cycle, and we are seeing some unexpected results. Apart from the low activity and shorter cycle we also have a very weak solar northern hemisphere when measuring the solar pole magnetic strength, the divergence between the poles is the largest measured in the modern record of around 40 years and will probably result in a disturbed solar dynamo that should ensure a weak SC25 before recovering somewhat in SC26. Of note is that there are no following AMP events until 2150, so don't expect a Maunder type minimum this time around (the next Maunder type event is over 1000 years away).

Some extra information is available in my latest article HERE.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 10.8

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
73.7 (73.1)   2016/07/31 08:00

Seven consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing. Another spotless day expected tomorrow which will see this month finishing off very low again.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 11

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
73.1 (72.6)   2016/07/30 08:00

Six consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 12

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
72.6 (72.5)   2016/07/29 08:00

Five consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. Some specks are now forming on the live image as F10.7 flux goes lower still..

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 12

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
72.5 (73.8)   2016/07/28 08:00

Four consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. The current pattern suggests the Sun only has enough power for small sunspots for half of the month....the rest spotless? F10.7 flux heading towards sub 70?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Manual -- 12

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
73.8 (75.9)   2016/07/27 08:00

Three consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. The second spotless run for the month continues..

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 13

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.9 (75.9)   2016/07/26 08:00

Two consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area decreasing. Another lengthy spotless run a real possibility. F10.7 flux dropping substantially to a very low value.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 13

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
75.9 (84.8)   2016/07/25 08:00

One spotless day is recorded with the overall area decreasing. The LSC monthly average now on the way down.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 12 14

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
84.8 (88.9)   2016/07/24 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux dropping fast, tomorrow looking to be spotless..

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
20 Manual -- 15

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 1080 (1794) 60% (69%)
2567 2268 (3170) 55% (63%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
88.9 (93.3)   2016/07/23 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
31 Locarno 31 14

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 1794 (4573) 69% (75%)
2567 3170 (8164) 63% (65%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
93.3 (103.3)   2016/07/22 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux heading back to below 100 again.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
35 Locarno 43 14

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 4573 (6102) 75% (76%)
2567 8164 (11398) 65% (67%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
103.3 (111.5)   2016/07/21 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. Region 2569 failing the threshold...

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
35 Locarno 43 12

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 6102 (7106) 76% (77%)
2567 11398 (9315) 67% (69%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
111.5 (104.1)   2016/07/20 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area decreasing slightly. The Darkness values again on the rise..

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
44 Locarno 44 11

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 7106 (7397) 77% (72%)
2567 9315 (9379) 69% (61%)
2569 400 (752) 72% (70%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
104.1 (110.6)   2016/07/19 08:00

Three sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing slightly. The current medium run may not last too much longer?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
31 Locarno 43 9

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 7397 (7628) 72% (73%)
2567 9379 (9241) 61% (66%)
2569 752 70%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
110.6 (108.6)   2016/07/18 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. The LSC monthly average on the up.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
28 Locarno 28 8

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 7628 (7441) 73% (75%)
2567 9241 (7600) 66% (71%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
108.6 (110.1)   2016/07/17 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
25 Locarno 53 7

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 7441 (6548) 75% (78%)
2567 7600 (1766) 71% (78%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
110.1 (105.4)   2016/07/16 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. Activity now picking up with some unusual close group formations. The Darkness values recently have been elevated showing the Livingston & Penn prediction of "no visible sunspots by 2015" proving false.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
15 Locarno 43 6

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 6548 (5383) 78% (75%)
2567 1766 78%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
105.4 (98.2)   2016/07/15 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux has been less than or equal to 100 for 54 days straight.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
10 Locarno 36 5

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 5383 (3984) 75% (74%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
98.2 (100.0)   2016/07/14 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux has just reached the 100 threshold.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
9 Locarno 38 4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 3984 (2364) 74% (81%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
100.0 (95.5)   2016/07/13 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 52 days straight. Mega low pressure cells are dominating over the south east corner of Australia.. with more to come.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
8 Locarno 38 4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2565 2364 (991) 81% (72%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
95.5 (97.8)   2016/07/12 08:00

Two sunspot groups are recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 51 days straight.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
18 Locarno 44 4

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2562 567 (681)
63% (68%)
2565 991 72%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.8 (97.6)   2016/07/11 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 50 days straight. Locarno again pumping up the numbers.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
13 Locarno 42 3

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2562 681 (706)
68% (62%)
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
97.6 (95.3)   2016/07/10 08:00

One sunspot group is recorded with the overall area increasing. The longest spotless run since April 2010 has ended with a whimper, it's looking like the spotless days could be back very soon?..F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 49 days straight. Locarno again pumping up the numbers.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
13 Locarno 35 1

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
2562 706
62%
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
95.3 (90.0)   2016/07/09 08:00

Sixteen consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing .F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 48 days straight. Region 2562 not reaching the 336 Wolf pixel threhold as the longest run of LSC spotless days since the SC23/24 minimum (April 2010) continues.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 28 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
90.0 (86.1)   2016/07/08 08:00

Fifteen consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area increasing .F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 47 days straight. The current run of spotless days will be under pressure tomorrow but stands as the longest run of LSC spotless days since the SC23/24 minimum (April 2010).

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 18 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
86.1 (79.7)   2016/07/07 08:00

Fourteen consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 46 days straight. The current run of spotless days is now substantial. F10.7 flux values remain very low.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 7 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
79.7 (74.9)   2016/07/06 08:00

Thirteen consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 45 days straight. The current run of spotless days is now substantial. F10.7 flux values remain very low.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 7 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.9 (76.3)   2016/07/05 08:00

Twelve consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 44 days straight. The current run of spotless days is now substantial. F10.7 flux values remain very low.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
76.3 (74.8)   2016/07/04 08:00

Eleven consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 43 days straight. The current run of spotless days is now substantial. F10.7 flux values remain very low.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 21 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.8 (74.4)   2016/07/03 08:00

Ten consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 42 days straight.

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
73.3 (74.4)   2016/07/02 08:00

Nine consecutive spotless days are recorded with the overall area not changing. F10.7 flux has been under 100 for 41 days straight.

Has the SILSO sold out the sunspot record? In breaking news there are 4 papers published this year that pose serious questions to the Svalgaard/Clette review of the international sunspot number that ended up changing the sunspot record last July. If the challenges are withheld it would seem the most important sunspot record of 400 years has been allowed to be manipulated to reflect the views of just two people who could be seriously argued as having their own agenda rather than basing the outcome on rigorous science. The Svalgaard/Clette revised Group Sunspot Number has also been challenged. It will be interesting if this topic comes up on WUWT? The links to the papers can be found HERE.

Wanted: Someone to build a software model that could interpret solar activity from the outer four planet angles taken from the JPL Ephemeris using my theory. I can provide the scale and power associated with the angles through some simple rules, I think the outcome would closely match the Holocene solar proxy record and ultimately provide proof of concept in a blockbuster paper?

Australia continues to experience the effects of large East Coast Low's this winter... The past 6 years has seen an increase in low pressure systems and low pressure troughs that can create low pressure systems. The last 6 months has seen a peak in this activity so far. Ozone changes due to low UV output is probably the cause and with more to come with the declining SC24 which has seen F10.7 flux well below 100 for most of this year coupled with the predicted La Nina and Antarctic jet streams, we should expect a very cold 2016 winter in the southern hemisphere.

A paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics (2014) which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine.

I am ramping up the twitter & facebook feeds that will include solar and climate news/graphs etc...click on the follow button near the top of this page or the left hand menu to be included.

LSC Daily Draw Ref. SILSO LSC Mov Avg.
0 Locarno 0 0

SDO Sunspot

 
NOAA Region #   Pixels Darkness
**SPOTLESS** **SPOTLESS**
**SPOTLESS**
F10.7  flux     Date/Time UTC
74.4 (75.4)   2016/07/01 08:00

 

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Previous Years Spotless Records.

SIDC 2009 spotless days - 261

Layman's 2009 spotless days - 314

Layman's spotless days June 2008 - June 2009 - 349

SIDC 2010 spotless days - 44

Layman's 2010 spotless days - 98

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Robert is working on an interesting project where he overlays two images taken from the EIT satellite, as can be seen apart from the visually stunning image there is quite a lot of detail that might not be apparent when looking at the images on their own. Pictured above is a timeline of SC23 moving through to SC24.

The images are regularly updated and can be found here: www.leif.org/bateman

 

wolflay

This graph prepared by Robert shows how the Layman's count (blue) compares with the Wolf count and today's methods.

Comments

"Layman count"

Congratulations! I would suggest to all people to consider this method the official for counting sunspots. I´d rather call it the "free man count", the only count which reflects reality instead of the will of any "new age" scientist.

Layman's count

Just want to add my thanks to others for providing this service, including the description of how the count is generated. 

Science in the open, as it should be.

Verification of Solar Output Independent of Earth

Would it be possible to show monthly, yearly graphs of the average surface temperature of Mars?

Mars does not have atmospheric gases that trap heat like Earth; and it especially doesn't have a huge water moderator like our oceans.  It may be possible to find a more direct correlation between Sunspots and the Sun's output by comparing past Martian surface temperatures to Sunspots.

I don't know where or how to get the data, or if the data even exists for, say, 100 years.

Comments appreciated!

Dr . Lurtz

TSI

Interesting idea...but I suspect if that data was available for Mars it would only show small variances. The solar output is a lot more than just the heat output which varies little, it probably takes an ocean and atmosphere to appreciate the other factors that are produced by Sol. The size of the Heliosphere, strength of the solar wind and EUV and magnetic influences may turn out to be much bigger players than TSI.

Viewer Angle

Sometimes depending on the time of year the solar equator can appear not where you might assume. The attached image shows the latitude of what will be 1049 and as you can see it is still some distance from the equator but does show a different band of activity compared with Region 2. The preceding 1047 with its reverse polarity is interesting but perhaps is a result of a southern hemisphere that is experiencing some sort of turmoil (it is said that upto 3% of spots can be wrongly aligned in their polarity) I think any SC23 spots would be right on the equator.

The return of Region 2 will be interesting to observe, will the southern hemisphere continue its already weak state?regions

Thanks Geoff!

I also wanted to say I appreciate the layman's count.  I  wanted to ask if you were aware of "Brown Dwarf Affecting Pluto, We Are Binary System?"  http://lucianarchy.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=general&action=print&thread=7005

I figure if anyone would be aware of a Brown Dwarf changing the orbital paths of the planets it would be those following Landscheidt's work.  I certainly do not trust NASA or the US government to give us the straight dope on anything anymore!

 

Thanks

Binary System

If there is a brown dwarf on the outskirts of the solar system it would not be in concert with our Sun. A body with greater mass and distance than Jupiter orbiting the Sun would have an enormous impact on the solar orbit pattern about the SSB. At present the solar path is about where it should be when calculating the gravitation affects from the solar system bodies. Our studies have shown a small variation between solar/planet AM which could result in solar rotation variances, this work is precise and would very quickly show if a distant body had any influence. The planet orbit perturbations are also in line with the solar orbit suggesting no outside influence.

So maybe the brown dwarf theory is not founded, and I also am vigilant at accepting information from NASA sources... I appreciate your support.

Density of Solar Output

<p>On Spaceweather, the proton density today is listed at ZERO protons per cm3. Is this because the escape velocity (now listed at 350 Km/sec) has not been reached? Oh, it now went up to 0.1 protons. &lt;i&gt;How does this work?&lt;/i&gt;</p>

Solar Wind

From what I can gather the density and speed of the solar wind can be related but not necessarily hard linked. Looking at the 7 day solar wind trends graph on the widget on the left hand menu of this site you can see they can get out of sync. The solar wind is also influenced by the magnetic wave motion generated in a spiral arm a bit like a lawn sprinkler, this can impact on the pressure build up within the wave. Not everything is known on the origin of the solar wind. I think the escape velocity is around 250 km/s.

Some interesting observations here:

The solar wind is divided into two components, respectively termed the slow solar wind and the fast solar wind. The slow solar wind has a velocity of about 400 km/s, a temperature of 1.4–1.6 × 106 K and a composition that is a close match to the corona. By contrast, the fast solar wind has a typical velocity of 750 km/s, a temperature of 8 × 105 K and it nearly matches the composition of the Sun's photosphere.[20] The slow solar wind is twice as dense and more variable in intensity than the fast solar wind. The slow wind also has a more complex structure, with turbulent regions and large-scale structures.[16][21]

The slow solar wind appears to originate from a region around the Sun's equatorial belt that is known as the "streamer belt". Coronal streamers extend outward from this region, carrying plasma from the interior along closed magnetic loops.[22][23] Observations of the Sun between 1996 and 2001 showed that emission of the slow solar wind occurred between latitudes of 30–35° around the equator during the solar minimum (the period of lowest solar activity), then expanded toward the poles as the minimum waned. By the time of the solar maximum, the poles were also emitting a slow solar wind.[24]

The fast solar wind is thought to originate from coronal holes, which are funnel-like regions of open field lines in the Sun's magnetic field.[25] Such open lines are particularly prevalent around the Sun's magnetic poles. The plasma source is small magnetic fields created by convection cells in the solar atmosphere. These fields confine the plasma and transport it into the narrow necks of the coronal funnels, which are located only 20,000 kilometers above the photosphere. The plasma is released into the funnel when these magnetic field lines reconnect.[26]

 

Flux Facts

Wow! This is more than I hoped to learn - thanks for the comprehensive response.

This makes a lot of sense now, and puts things in a bigger context for me. I have friends who work in fusion technology. The big deal in that technology is magnetic containment. As I watch the solar magnetic field loops warp and wane, then cut loose, I am reminded of the difficulty in devising the containment software for fusion technology. The software and hardware has to be powerful and rapid, needing Cray type processing at gigaflop rates, because the plasma field is so unstable that it has to be shepherded by asymmetric magnetic fields in nanosecond time, or else it whips out and escapes in a huge outburst, or flare that would destroy the machine making the variable "bottle". This is just like the flares associated with spot loci. You see the plasmas contained for a while, seething, then when they find a weak spot and break out all hell breaks loose with it!

I imagine the sunspots as associated with vortices deep in the mantle. Like a tornado, they either have wide vertical leads, as with wide powerful tornadoes that communicate with the source directly vertical to it, or they have spindly thin leads that wander far from the source of the vortex until they hit the surface with a small footprint. I guess the current research that has identified a fast mantle movement may generate a dislocated vortex, similar to the spindly tortuous tornado, that because of the rapid lateral movement of the source cloud, it loses strong linkage with the top of the vortex atop the wall cloud.  Instead of straight up-and-down, it meanders. Except with the sun, the vortex comes from the bottom up, rather than top down like a tornado. Is my imagination relevant, if I have explained myself adequately?

brown dwarf

Thanks for your quick response.  I thought this sounded like unsupported conjecture but it certainly was worth checking.

 

I notice you are about 1/3 of the way through cycle 24 and still tracking cycle 5 very nicely.  This latest funk with F10.7 nose diving again must have the CAGW pushers nearly frantic to get  a global CO2 bill passed.  Between the sun in a funk, a La Nina and a possible Katla volcano eruption, a very obvious "global cooling" maybe just around the corner.

spot was spotted

Eureka!

   Thankyou Geoff! I have been searching for a sunspot count that would be relevant to historical records and, Eureka, I've found it! It has been so very obvious to me that official counts have been recording specks, and then trying to compare apples with oranges. This should clear up alot of questions, great work!   

LSC

 

We changed the way sunspots were counted way back in 1882. 17 years of counting both ways have shown that there is a simple proportionality between the old count and the new count, namely old = 0.6 * new. The discussion at landscheidt is incorrect and invalid.

 

Everybody since Wolfer in 1882 uses the 0.6 factor. [except NOAA]. The 0.6 thing is completely irrelevant and is just like converting from Fahrenheit to Centigrade. Waldmeier was probably over-counting the number of groups [using his own classification ( http://www.leif.org/EOS/1989JALPO-33.pdf ) although the precise nature of the jump is not yet clear.

The count the last decade or so is too small, not too large as you claim. And it would be nice if you dared use your real name rather than the pathetic 'jinki'.

 

The significant element of correct sunspot counting is NOT to introduce a bias beforehand by having a threshold for counting a spot. This Wolfer [and everybody else] saw so clearly way back in the 1880s. Whether or not you multiply by 0.6 to align yourself with Wolf's number is irrelevant. To make an honest comparison between NOAA and the rest you should multiply NOAA values by 0.6, instead of pretending that they use a different method [they do not].

 

You cannot compare directly Wolf and Wolfer as they had different counting technique. To make a comparison you first have to either scale Wolf up or Wolfer down. Let us scale Wolfer down the way he himself did it by multiplying by 0.6, then Wolf and Wolfer can be compared. Now Waldmeier introduced a jump in 1945. We can either scale earlier values up or scale Waldmeier down. Let's scale the early [Wolfer] values up to be comparable to Waldmeier. When SIDC took over they strove to maintain Waldmeier's scale, so during the 1990s SIDC would have been comparable to Wolf and Wolfer, both scaled correctly. Since 1st August, 2001, SIDC counts have been 12% lower than everybody else's, so SIDC is now too low, just on procedural grounds.

 

Here is a comparison NOAA-SIDC: http://www.leif.org/research/NOAA-vs-SIDC.png

 

The pink and green dots show SIDC/NOAA [left scale] and should cluster around the famous 0.6. Note the green dots are systematically lower.

 

And a comparison with many other organizations: http://www.leif.org/research/SIDC-Undercounts.png

 

 

So, yes, SIDC is too low compared to what Wolf and Wolfer would have counted [properly scaled].

 

 

Waldmeier is the 'correct' count because he probably had a better definition of a 'group' taking into account the physical evolution of active regions rather than just accident nearness in location. Trying to go back to the older version is a step backwards and should be avoided.

 

 

Agree on? This is what I have told you. And the 22% is probably what the count should be higher, because of better definition of what constitutes a group. Trying to regress to earlier [less meaningful] ways is not good science.

The discussion at Landscheidt is wrong because it tries to give the impression that there is something wrong with the modern counting technique, while just the opposite is true: we have learned the hard way how to do it correctly. This does not mean that somebody cannot screw up, like SIDC did in 2001, leading to their undercount. But these glitches are eventually discovered and [hopefully] corrected.

 

The 22% is a reason to align Wolf with the modern count. Trying to align with Wolf is bad science as we have learned in the meantime how to do it better. If you absolutely want to align with Wolf, then you first scale his numbers up to Wolfer's then scale them further up the Waldmeier's. This puts SC5 at about the same as SC14. 

 

The proxy records? This is what they show: http://www.leif.org/research/Solar-Activity-1785-1810.png

SC5 does not look well-determined.

 

ou cannot, because his method is not quantifiable. The only thing we can do is to compare his counts with e.g. the geomagnetic proxies and scale his counts upwards to fit [as I have done]. Or modern counts downwards, it doesn't matter which way. And there is the built-in bias that a [unknown] threshold has. Raise the threshold enough and every cycle becomes a Grand minimum.

If we scale Wolf correctly, SC5 does not look much different from SC14 [and is still very uncertain, c.f. my plot upthread].

 

 

You do not make any comparisons with the past. Where is the comparison of LSC and Wolf?

 

First you say that you accept my assessment that all pre-Waldmeier counts should be increased by 22%, then you plot without such adjustment. Typical, I would say. To boost your integrity a bit, plot Hoyt and Schatten's GSN on the same plot. You can get the monthly values here: http://www.leif.org/research/GSNmonth.txt

 

The last column is the standard deviation [~uncertainty].

'-99' is, of course, 'no data'.

 

And you say that you compare LSC with the past. There is no such comparison anywhere, as you have no overlapping data. Comparing LSC now with Wolf SC5 is, of course, not valid as there is no reason they should be equal [claiming Grand minima is, of course, circular]. 

 

 

I have accepted that there need to be adjustment? No, I have SHOWN and argued that such adjustment be made, against many who don't want any adjustment.

 

No new future counting technique is needed nor proposed. Just do it right [Waldmeier]. You are not comparing apples to apples, because you do not know what Wolf's apple looked like. The only way to compare SC5, SC14, SC24 is to compare to an independent standard, as Wolf so rightly saw. The magnetic needle [or cosmic rays] affords such a standard [also as Wolf saw]. If you are so happy to make changes, then do this:

1) plot NOAA * 0.6 on your regular plot for today's values

2) plot GSN on your SC5/SC14 plot. To show the uncertainty of the values.

Those two things will go along way to get you a modicum of credibility. If you don't, well, it may prove my point.

 

one can only accept things that are based on reason. You have shown no comparison between LSC and any past counts. Thus there is no reason to even consider LSC. There is no challenge as LSC can be dismissed out of hand, because it is not based on sound principles, but rather is a means to an end [Grand Minimum]. Now, plot the GSN on your SC5 plot [or shall I do it for you?]

 

BTW, from 1861 on, Wolf did not use his earlier [larger] telescope, but a much smaller portable scope with considerably less resolving power. To scale his counts to his earlier telescope he multiplied his raw sunspot numbers by 1.50, so you see, a lot of adjustments have been applied. The solid common thread of all this is his continuous comparison with the magnetic needle, to make sure his scale was not drifting. This comparison we can do [and have done] today and we are thus able to bring Wolf's numbers onto the modern scale..

You have not made any comparisons [many years worth of data is needed for a solid comparison], so the LSC has no claim to represent anything.

 

BTW2: as far as I can tell from your Figure where you plot F10.7, you plot the wrong one of the two numbers given by the Canadians. There is an observed number that is biased by the distance to the sun and an adjusted number that reflects what the sun is putting out normalized to 1 AU. You should plot the latter, which for June was 74.8, not the ~72 you show. You may want to check [and correct] this.

 

BTW3: and at the same time multiply NOAA by 0.6 so as to compare apples with apples.

 

 

This is what your graph should look like when done right, so apples line up with apples:

http://www.leif.org/research/Layman-Count-Comparison.png

 

where you cannot see the green NOAA curve it is because it is just behind the pink SIDC for perfect agreement. The data points for August are of course based on the first 10 days only.

 

Yes, it would be very interesting. In my responses I tried to point out that solar observers do their utmost to preserve and keep up-to-d