Expanded Current vs Maunder AM Comparison

Referring to my recently updated Expanded Current vs Maunder overlay plot attachment, I'd like to summarize how I think it might help us understand the current Minimum as it unfolds in the near future, and perhaps through as much as the next 50 years.  Assuming that the current and past barycentric angular momentum signatures of the Sun are, as we believe to be the case, closely correlated with observed sunspot activity, we need to understand which characteristics of the signature are most likely to control solar activity

Two obviously important parameters controlling this sensitivity are phase and amplitude of the AM signature.  The Expanded Current vs Maunder overlay plot attachment indicates a very precise in-phase relationship between the current and Maunder AM signatures, especially between 1975 and 2044 compared with 1517 to 1586.  Perhaps even more importantly, the start times of "spotlessness" of the two Minima are also in phase.  However, it is seen that there is a difference in AM amplitude of -2x10^39 kg-m^2/s at these times (2008 compared with 1650).  This is 4.3% of the total AM amplitude range of 4.6x10^40 kg-m^2/s in the plot.   In 2011, even this small  amplitude difference vanishes, and the red and blue curves  fully converge in both phase and amplitude.  The times-from-start of spotlessness remain in phase for the remainder of the plot, but in 2012 the AM amplitude will start to diverge again, reaching about 3.1x10^39 kg-m^2/s in at AM min in 2014, then converging again in 2017.

If the current Minimum remains essentially spotless until then, the next potential disruptive trigger will be the divergence in amplitude that will occur in at AM peak in 2021, attaining a maximum  of -2x10^39 kg-m^2/s AM amplitude difference.  The two curves once again converge to perfect synch in 2025.  Next, it is seen that at the AM minimm in 2030 there is a difference of only 1x10^39 kg-m^2/s.  At the next peak, in 2038, the difference is slightly greater than 1x10^39 kg-m^2/s.  After that the AM curves are about a year out of phase until 2044, at which time they cross.  2044 corresponds to 1586 in the comparison.  Jupiter and Neptune were in conjunction in 1587 and Jupiter will be in opposition  with Uranus in 2045!

In 2045 the AM curves differ by 2x10^39 kg-m^2/s in amplitude and, perhaps more crucially, by -2 years in phase.  If the current Minimum remains spotless until 2044, this is probably the time that solar activity is likely to suddenly ramp up.  If this does happen, the current Minimum will have 14 less spotless years than did the Maunder Minimum, which remained spotless until 1700.  Still, a 36 year period of spotlessness will definitely seem like a very long time, if that is the scenario in store.