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February Update: A dramatic fall in activity experienced this month with the LSC at 18.4, SIDC 33.1, NOAA unadjusted 50.1 (prov). SIDC for the 11th straight month over counting compared with NOAA, with the difference again moving closer this month. February was another month of heavy speck activity resulting in a substantial difference between the LSC and other counting methods. The magnitude of the fall this month might persuade some to think cycle max has already arrived, time will tell but the current trend is very different to previous cycles, unless we compare with the Group Sunspot Count of SC5.
SC24 is still on track to matching SC5.
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One weak unipolar region counted today with overall area dropping a small amount. F10.7 flux heading towards sub 100 again. This months totals will be interesting.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1423 |
2629 (2741) |
61% (64%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 101.3 (103.5) |
1168 (1383) |
2012/02/29 03:00 |
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One weak unipolar region counted today with overall area rising a small amount. Some specks remain that are well below the threshold. This month is expected to be lower than January.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1423 |
2741 (2329) |
64% (66%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 103.5 (104.9) |
1383 (1295) |
2012/02/28 03:00 |
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One weak unipolar region counted today with overall area remaining level. Some other specks will inflate the official counts today.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1423 |
2329 (1948) |
66% (64%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 104.9 (105.9) |
1295 (1229) |
2012/02/27 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a drop in overall area. The northern hemisphere is looking very weak at present.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1422 |
552 (1612) |
59% (60%) |
| 1423 |
1948 (1401) |
64% (69%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 105.9 (106.7) |
1229 (1543) |
2012/02/26 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a drop in overall area. Some new speck activity appearing.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1422 |
1612 (2876) |
60% (59%) |
| 1423 |
1401 (988) |
69% (53%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 106.7 (101.2) |
1543 (1652) |
2012/02/25 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a moderate drop in overall area.Stereo Behind is showing more than what we see right now.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1422 |
2876 (4710) |
59% (67%) |
| 1423 |
988 (349) |
53% (48%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 101.2 (102.0) |
1652 (2445) |
2012/02/24 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a moderate drop in overall area. A new region rotating onto the face looks at this stage to be another unipolar spot with unipolar type region 1420 now below the Wolf type threshold.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1422 |
4710 (6935) |
67% (65%) |
| New |
349 |
48% |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 102.0 (101.0) |
2445 (3302) |
2012/02/23 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a moderate drop in overall area. F10.7 flux dropping again quickly as this month continues its slumber.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1420 |
501 (771) |
55% (50%) |
| 1422 |
6935 (8209) |
65% (61%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 101.0 (108.7) |
3302 (3833) |
2012/02/22 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a small rise in overall area. F10.7 flux jumping up, but still low.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1420 |
771 (1278) |
50% (52%) |
| 1422 |
8209 (6412) |
61% (72%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 108.7 (102.9) |
3833 (3750) |
2012/02/2103:00 |
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wo regions counted today with reasonable jump in overall area. New region 1422 growing quickly since the last update and also showing strong magnetic strength.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1420 |
1278 (1727) |
52% (61%) |
| 1422 |
6412 |
72% |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 102.9 (101.7) |
3750 (1326) |
2012/02/20 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a small rise in overall area. Some other speck activity that may develope further. Overall activity very weak.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1419 |
342 (475) |
68% (72%) |
| 1420 |
1727 (1886) |
61% (55%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 101.7(101.3) |
1326 (1097) |
2012/02/19 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a drop in overall area.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1419 |
475 (578) |
72% (60%) |
| 1420 |
1886 (1984) |
55% (62%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 101.3 (100.8) |
1097 (1526) |
2012/02/18 03:00 |
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Three regions counted today with a drop in overall area. Unipolar type regions dominating again. The pipeline also looks weak for now.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
1123 (2069) |
50% (59%) |
| 1419 |
578 (719) |
60% (64%) |
| 1420 |
1984 (1695) |
62% (65%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 100.8 (102.0) |
1526 (2545) |
2012/02/17 02:00 |
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Three regions counted today with a drop in overall area. F10.7 flux is getting close to 100 again with February looking already to be a weak month. Meanwhile the record cold in Europe continues with more deaths recorded and many countries reporting power shortages.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
2069 (3871) |
59% (60%) |
| 1419 |
719 (795) |
64% (68%) |
| 1420 |
1695 (1383) |
65% (57%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 102.0 (104.8) |
1965 (2545) |
2012/02/16 03:00 |
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Three regions counted today with a drop in overall area. The DSN values have been updated which now clearly show a decline in overall solar activity over the past few months.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
3871 (5967) |
60% (62%) |
| 1419 |
795 (751) |
68% (63%) |
| 1420 |
1383 (840) |
57% (66%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 104.8 (105.7) |
2545 (3318) |
2012/02/15 03:00 |
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Three regions counted today with a big drop in overall area as region 1416 nearly halves in size. A big storm looks to be heading towards most of Europe in the next 24-48 hours.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
5967 (9140) |
62% (63%) |
| 1419 |
751 (430) |
63% (66%) |
| 1420 |
840 (510) |
66% (55%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 105.7 (107.6) |
3318 (4481) |
2012/02/14 03:00 |
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Three regions counted today with a decrease in overall area . A big storm looks to be heading towards most of Europe in the next 48 hours.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
9140 (11034) |
63% (66%) |
| 1419 |
430 |
66% |
| 1420 |
510 |
55% |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 107.6 (109.4) |
4481 (5169) |
2012/02/13 03:00 |
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One region counted today with overall area increasing by a small amount. Region 1416 looks to have stabilized. Overall monthly activity remains low.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
11034 (10335) |
66% (70%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 109.4 (107.9) |
5169 (5110) |
2012/02/12 03:00 |
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One region counted today with a big increase in overall area with new region 1416 growing quickly in the last 24 hours. Overall monthly activity remains low.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
10335 (3758) |
70%(65%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 107.9 (96.6) |
5110 (1730) |
2012/02/11 03:00 |
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One region counted today with a reasonable increase in overall area with new region 1416 developing in the last 24 hours. I have produced a table of atmospheric metrics and explanation of recent events leading up to Europe's big freeze at the end of this article HERE.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1416 |
3758 (940) |
65%(79%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 96.6 (94.6) |
1730 (628) |
2012/02/10 03:00 |
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One region counted today with a small increase in overall area. F10.7 flux dropping substantially.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| New |
940 |
79% |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 94.6 (104.3) |
628 (233) |
2012/02/09 03:00 |
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The luck held out and we have a spotless day, there are some specks that failed to make the grade. Is this an indication of the weakness of the cycle or just a passing phase?
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| ***SPOTLESS*** |
***SPOTLESS*** |
***SPOTLESS*** |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 104.3 (108.9) |
233 (777) |
2012/02/08 03:00 |
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One region counted today with overall area decreasing again. Todays spike in F10.7 flux is a result of a minor flare from 1410, two hours later the value returned to sub 100. Tomorrow will be an interesting day perhaps with the chance of a spotless day.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
1820 (2584) |
62% (62%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 108.9 (99.8) |
777 (1250) |
2012/02/07 03:00 |
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One region counted today with overall area decreasing again but with some outlier growth on 1410. F10.7 flux now sub 100. A spotless day looking possible in the near future if lucky. Western Europe experiencing the power of the jet stream again today, the "Massive" winter is now confirmed?
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
2584 (2669) |
62% (59%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 99.8 (104.0) |
1250 (1341) |
2012/02/06 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with overall area decreasing. F10.7 flux edging towards 100. A spotless day looking possible in the near future if lucky. Western Europe experiencing the power of the jet stream today.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
2669 (3796) |
59% (60%) |
| 1413 |
415 (1042) |
63% (60%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 104.0 (107.9) |
1341 (2016) |
2012/02/05 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with overall area and darkness decreasing sharply. World weather on the turn, Europe and Japan experiencing deep lows with many dead, big snow storms in Colorado and Australia setting flood records in two states. The AO has turned which if sustained will bring massive cold. Western Europe not looking good on the jet stream predictions in the next 24 hours.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
3796 (4511) |
60% (69%) |
| 1413 |
1042 (1996) |
60% (61%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 107.9 (114.6) |
2016 (3045) |
2012/02/04 03:00 |
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
4511 (4841) |
69% (67%) |
| 1413 |
1996 (3640) |
61% (61%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 114.6 (114.1) |
3045 (4004) |
2012/02/03 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a small increase in overall area. The monthly results are in, January somewhat lower than the past few months.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
4841 (5133) |
67% (66%) |
| 1413 |
3640 (2089) |
61% (62%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 114.1 (113.1) |
4004 (3671) |
2012/02/02 03:00 |
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Two regions counted today with a small increase in overall area. The SIDC results should be available soon along with the LSC January report. Expect the blue line to go below the pink this month.
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NOAA Region #
|
Pixels |
Darkness |
| 1410 |
5133 (4183) |
66% (68%) |
| 1413 |
2089 (1628) |
62% (64%) |
| F10.7 flux |
DSN |
Date/Time UTC
|
| 113.1 (110.0) |
3671 (3634) |
2012/02/01 03:00 |
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